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November 2014 CropWatch bulletin (Vol. 14, No. 4)

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November 2014 CropWatch bulletin released. The CropWatch November bulletin assesses the agroclimatic and agronomic factors up to October 2014 that determine crop development and agricultural production. The analyses of environmental and satellite-based agronomic indicators focus on worldwide patterns and zoom into major production areas and countries. The report presents the CropWatch provisional estimates for 2014 production, putting the combined global estimate of 2014 maize, rice, and wheat output at 2,469 million tons and soybean at 295 million tons; for China, these numbers are 513 million (main cereals) and 13 million (soybean). The bulletin’s focus section this time discusses extreme weather events—including cyclone Hudhud in India, El Niño developments, and rice.
Key messages from the report:


This CropWatch bulletin summarizes global crop condition developments and agroclimatic factors from July 1 to October 31 2014, focusing on key crop producing and exporting areas and China. The bulletin is prepared by the Institute of Remote Sensing and Digital Earth, Chinese Academy of Sciences in Beijing. The first part of the report includes the cover, table of contents, abbreviations, and a short overview of the bulletin sections.

Chapter 1. Global agroclimatic patterns

Chapter 1 describes the CropWatch agroclimatic indicators for rainfall (RAIN), temperature (TEMP), and radiation (RADPAR), along with the agronomic indicator for potential biomass (BIOMSS) for sixty-five global Mapping and Reporting Units (MRU).

Chapter 2. Crop and environmental conditions in major production zones

Chapter 2 presents the same indicators—RAIN, TEMP, RADPAR, and BIOMSS—used in Chapter 1, and combines them with the agronomic indicators—cropped arable land fraction (CALF), maximum vegetation condition index (VCIx), and minimum vegetation health index (VHIn)—to describe crop condition in seven Major Production Zones (MPZ) across all continents.

Chapter 3. Main producing and exporting countries

Building on the global patterns presented in previous chapters, this chapter assesses the situation of crops in 30 key countries that represent the global major producers and exporters or otherwise are of global or CropWatch relevance. For each country, maps present an NDVI-based crop condition development graph, maximum VCI, and spatial NDVI patterns with associated NDVI profiles.

Chapter 4. China

Chapter 4 presents a detailed CropWatch analysis for China, focusing on the seven most productive agro-ecological regions of the east and south: North-east China, Inner Mongolia, Huanghuaihai, Loess region, Lower Yangtze, Southwest China, and Southern China. After a brief overview including a production outlook for 2014, detailed analysis including maps and profiles for NDVI, VCIx, CALF, and BIOMSS are provided for the individual regions.

Chapter 5. Focus and perspectives

This focus section complements CropWatch analyses presented in chapters 1 through 4 by presenting a global outlook for 2014 production and other topics of relevance to global agriculture. Section 5.1 summarizes the provisional CropWatch estimates for 2014 production, while section 5.2 presents the standard CropWatch section on extreme atmospheric factors—disaster events—that have interfered with crop production in recent months. Sections 5.3 and 5.4 focus on El Niño and rice, respectively.

Annex A. Agroclimatic indicators

Tables in this Annex provide additional information about the agroclimatic indicators—RAIN, TEMP, and RADPAR—as well as BIOMSS for the various CropWatch spatial units for this reporting unit. Those units include the Measuring and Reporting Units; the thirty-one main producing and exporting countries; regions or provinces within large countries—Argentina, Australia, Brazil, Canada, India, Kazakhstan, Russia, and the United States; and China.

Annex B. 2014 Production estimates

Annex B includes tables with the 2014 production estimates for Argentina, Australia, Brazil, Canada, and the United States.

Annex C. Quick reference guide to CropWatch indicators, spatial units, and production estimation methodology

Annex C includes a brief overview of the CropWatch indicators and spatial units (including the MRUs, MPZs, and countries), along with a description of the production estimation methodology.
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